TheOutcome — Polymarket Trader
Wallet: 0x4113dd92bb354d53ff399ef4e5b89a9ce7d79514
TheOutcome on Polymarket: $-13,010 all-time P&L, 79.0% win rate over 1,641 settled positions, $2,221,465 volume, 20K+ trades. Live positions, trade history & stats.
TheOutcome is one of 896,000+ Polymarket traders tracked live on PolymarketScan — every trade, position, and PnL move on this wallet updates in real time.
- All-time P&L
- $-13,010
- Total Trades
- 20K+
- Win Rate
- 79.0% (1,296W / 345L settled)
- Volume
- $2,221,465
- ROI
- -2.6%
- Avg Hold Time
- 11.6h
- Avg Position
- $111
- Biggest Win
- +$4,486 — Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- Biggest Loss
- -$2,533 — Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
- Sharpe Ratio
- -1.30
- Unique Markets
- 1828
- Active For
- 428 days
What TheOutcome trades
- Binary — 100% of activity
- Politics — 42% of activity
- Misc — 38% of activity
Recent Polymarket trades by TheOutcome
- SELL YES $206.03 — Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? (173d ago)
- SELL YES $447.56 — Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? (175d ago)
- SELL YES $97.77 — Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? (178d ago)
- BUY UP $1.49 — Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET (212d ago)
- BUY UP $40.96 — Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET (213d ago)
- SELL NO $200.78 — Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? (213d ago)
- BUY DOWN $6.48 — Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET (214d ago)
- SELL DOWN $1.97 — Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET (215d ago)
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Frequently asked questions
Is TheOutcome profitable on Polymarket?
TheOutcome has $-13,010 in all-time profit and loss on Polymarket, with a 79.0% win rate over 1,641 settled positions and -2.6% ROI on $2,221,465 of trading volume.
What does TheOutcome trade on Polymarket?
TheOutcome trades mostly Binary markets (100% of activity) across 1828 unique Polymarket markets. The full category breakdown and every position is on this trader's PolymarketScan profile.
How can I track TheOutcome's Polymarket trades?
PolymarketScan tracks TheOutcome's wallet (0x4113dd92bb354d53ff399ef4e5b89a9ce7d79514) live and free: every trade, open position, PnL chart, and behavioral stats. Add the trader to a watchlist for alerts. PolymarketScan is read-only analytics — trading itself happens on Polymarket.
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