Warren-Buffett — Polymarket Trader
Wallet: 0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4
Warren-Buffett on Polymarket: +$127,549 all-time P&L, 66.7% win rate over 1,735 settled positions, $4,608,044 volume, 20K+ trades. Live positions, trade history & stats.
Warren-Buffett is one of 896,000+ Polymarket traders tracked live on PolymarketScan — every trade, position, and PnL move on this wallet updates in real time.
- All-time P&L
- +$127,549
- Total Trades
- 20K+
- Win Rate
- 66.7% (1,158W / 577L settled)
- Volume
- $4,608,044
- ROI
- +3.0%
- Avg Hold Time
- 4.3 days
- Avg Position
- $2,323
- Biggest Win
- +$124,633 — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- Biggest Loss
- -$28,000 — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- Sharpe Ratio
- 0.48
- Unique Markets
- 1565
- Active For
- 368 days
What Warren-Buffett trades
- Binary — 100% of activity
- Misc — 75% of activity
- Science Tech — 14% of activity
Recent Polymarket trades by Warren-Buffett
- BUY NO $44.30 — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? (1h ago)
- BUY NO $9.20 — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? (10h ago)
- BUY NO $4.83 — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? (10h ago)
- BUY NO $9.20 — Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? (10h ago)
- SELL YES $42.50 — Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? (12h ago)
- SELL YES $0.62 — Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? (15h ago)
- SELL YES $97.87 — Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? (15h ago)
- SELL YES $2.17 — Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? (1d ago)
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Frequently asked questions
Is Warren-Buffett profitable on Polymarket?
Warren-Buffett has +$127,549 in all-time profit and loss on Polymarket, with a 66.7% win rate over 1,735 settled positions and +3.0% ROI on $4,608,044 of trading volume.
What does Warren-Buffett trade on Polymarket?
Warren-Buffett trades mostly Binary markets (100% of activity) across 1565 unique Polymarket markets. The full category breakdown and every position is on this trader's PolymarketScan profile.
How can I track Warren-Buffett's Polymarket trades?
PolymarketScan tracks Warren-Buffett's wallet (0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4) live and free: every trade, open position, PnL chart, and behavioral stats. Add the trader to a watchlist for alerts. PolymarketScan is read-only analytics — trading itself happens on Polymarket.
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