Warren-Buffett — Polymarket Trader
Wallet: 0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4
Warren-Buffett on Polymarket: +$177,026 all-time P&L, 67.3% win rate over 1,035 settled positions, $30,641,948 volume, 28000 trades. Live positions, trade history & stats.
Warren-Buffett is one of 896,000+ Polymarket traders tracked live on PolymarketScan — every trade, position, and PnL move on this wallet updates in real time.
- All-time P&L
- +$177,026
- Total Trades
- 28000
- Win Rate
- 67.3% (697W / 338L settled)
- Volume
- $30,641,948
- ROI
- +4.6%
- Avg Hold Time
- 44.0 days
- Avg Position
- $1,094
- Biggest Win
- +$18,200 — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- Biggest Loss
- -$4,587 — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- Sharpe Ratio
- 2.07
- Unique Markets
- 572
- Active For
- 199 days
What Warren-Buffett trades
- Misc — 50% of activity
- Science Tech — 27% of activity
- Sports — 11% of activity
Recent Polymarket trades by Warren-Buffett
- BUY YES $4,570.03 — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? (3h ago)
- BUY NO $100.00 — Erling Haaland: 1+ goals (3d ago)
- BUY YES $3.80 — Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? (3d ago)
- BUY NO $8.30 — Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday? (3d ago)
- BUY YES $318.12 — Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? (6d ago)
- BUY YES $392.50 — Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? (7d ago)
- BUY NO $2,242.77 — Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? (7d ago)
- BUY NO $1,304.38 — Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? (13d ago)
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Frequently asked questions
Is Warren-Buffett profitable on Polymarket?
Warren-Buffett has +$177,026 in all-time profit and loss on Polymarket, with a 67.3% win rate over 1,035 settled positions and +4.6% ROI on $30,641,948 of trading volume.
What does Warren-Buffett trade on Polymarket?
Warren-Buffett trades mostly Misc markets (50% of activity) across 572 unique Polymarket markets. The full category breakdown and every position is on this trader's PolymarketScan profile.
How can I track Warren-Buffett's Polymarket trades?
PolymarketScan tracks Warren-Buffett's wallet (0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4) live and free: every trade, open position, PnL chart, and behavioral stats. Add the trader to a watchlist for alerts. PolymarketScan is read-only analytics — trading itself happens on Polymarket.
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