Arbguy — Polymarket Trader
Wallet: 0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
Arbguy on Polymarket: +$489,502 all-time P&L, 45.0% win rate over 631 settled positions, $56,521,981 volume, 10K+ trades. Live positions, trade history & stats.
Arbguy is one of 896,000+ Polymarket traders tracked live on PolymarketScan — every trade, position, and PnL move on this wallet updates in real time.
- All-time P&L
- +$489,502
- Total Trades
- 10K+
- Win Rate
- 45.0% (284W / 347L settled)
- Volume
- $56,521,981
- ROI
- -0.1%
- Avg Hold Time
- 0.0h
- Avg Position
- $5,652
- Biggest Win
- +$64,865
- Biggest Loss
- -$42,122
- Sharpe Ratio
- -0.56
- Unique Markets
- 667
- Active For
- 409 days
What Arbguy trades
- Misc — 78% of activity
- Politics — 16% of activity
Recent Polymarket trades by Arbguy
- BUY NO $177.76 — Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding? (10d ago)
- BUY YES $15,557.20 — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? (17d ago)
- SELL NO $5.97 — Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? (49d ago)
- SELL YES $648.86 — Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? (53d ago)
- BUY YES $9,648.98 — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (55d ago)
- SELL NO $88.00 — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? (56d ago)
- BUY NO $2,951.14 — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? (64d ago)
- SELL NO $13.37 — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (67d ago)
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Frequently asked questions
Is Arbguy profitable on Polymarket?
Arbguy has +$489,502 in all-time profit and loss on Polymarket, with a 45.0% win rate over 631 settled positions and -0.1% ROI on $56,521,981 of trading volume.
What does Arbguy trade on Polymarket?
Arbguy trades mostly Misc markets (78% of activity) across 667 unique Polymarket markets. The full category breakdown and every position is on this trader's PolymarketScan profile.
How can I track Arbguy's Polymarket trades?
PolymarketScan tracks Arbguy's wallet (0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177) live and free: every trade, open position, PnL chart, and behavioral stats. Add the trader to a watchlist for alerts. PolymarketScan is read-only analytics — trading itself happens on Polymarket.
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