US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? is a Polymarket prediction market in the Geopolitics category within the US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? event. Current Polymarket odds are Yes 24.5% and No 75.5%, implying a 24.5% market probability that the outcome resolves Yes. Lifetime trading volume is 739K shares, with $137,457 in current liquidity. The market resolves on January 1, 2027. Track live odds, whale trade activity, and trader positioning for "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31" on PolymarketScan.
Live market data
- Yes price
- 24.5%
- No price
- 75.5%
- Trading volume
- 739K shares
- Liquidity
- $137,457
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Parent event
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
- Status
- Active
- Data source
- Polymarket on Polygon blockchain
Whale activity on this market
The largest trades on this Polymarket market, ranked by USD size. Click any wallet to view the trader's full Polymarket history and PnL.
- 0x0fde...8ab1: BUY NO $5,000, 2026-11-12 09:03 UTC
- 0x35bb...009b: SELL YES $3,236, 2026-11-09 15:38 UTC
- 0x0fde...8ab1: BUY NO $3,000, 2026-11-06 06:29 UTC
- 0x35bb...009b: BUY YES $2,695, 2026-11-09 11:18 UTC
- 0x60a9...5a71: SELL YES $2,656, 2026-11-09 21:33 UTC
More Geopolitics markets on Polymarket
The open Polymarket Geopolitics markets with the most trading in the last 24 hours, as read from Polymarket at 2026-11-12 22:41 UTC:
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?: Yes 93.2%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: Yes 7.5%
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?: Yes 8.1%
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?: Yes 7.5%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?: Yes 8.5%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?: Yes 84.5%
Frequently asked questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31"?
As of 2026-11-12 22:51 UTC, the Polymarket odds are Yes 24.5% and No 75.5%. A Yes price of 24.5% means the market estimates a 24.5% probability that the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares on Polymarket.
How much trading volume does this Polymarket market have?
This market has 739K shares traded in its lifetime and $137,457 in current liquidity. Polymarket counts volume in shares, not dollars: the figure is the number of outcome shares traded on this market since it opened. Higher volume typically means tighter spreads and more reliable price signal.
When does this Polymarket market resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027. Resolution means the underlying question has been answered: Yes shares pay $1 each and No shares pay $0, or vice versa depending on the outcome. Polymarket determines resolution using the rules specified when the market was created.
What category is this Polymarket market in?
This is a Polymarket Geopolitics market in the US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? event. Geopolitics markets on Polymarket include a wide range of predictions. Browse more Geopolitics markets on PolymarketScan to see related active predictions.
How do I trade this Polymarket market?
Trading happens on Polymarket.com, a decentralized prediction market on the Polygon blockchain. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 each at resolution if the outcome matches. PolymarketScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity for this market but does not facilitate trading directly.
What is PolymarketScan?
PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform for Polymarket. Every Polymarket market has a tracking page with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. No signup required.
About Polymarket and PolymarketScan
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market running on the Polygon blockchain. Users buy and sell shares in the Yes or No outcome of real-world events; prices reflect the market's probability estimate and winning shares pay out $1 each at resolution. PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform that tracks every Polymarket market with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. Browse all Polymarket markets, view recent whale trades, or search Polymarket traders.