Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? is a Polymarket prediction market in the Other category within the Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? event. Current Polymarket odds are Yes 4.1% and No 95.9%, implying a 4.1% market probability that the outcome resolves Yes. Lifetime trading volume is $751,950, with $73,485 in current liquidity. The market resolves on June 30, 2026. Track live odds, whale trade activity, and trader positioning for "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026" on PolymarketScan.
Live market data
- Yes price
- 4.1%
- No price
- 95.9%
- Trading volume
- $751,950
- Liquidity
- $73,485
- Resolution date
- June 30, 2026
- Category
- Other
- Parent event
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- Status
- Active
- Data source
- Polymarket on Polygon blockchain
Whale activity on this market
The largest trades on this Polymarket market, ranked by USD size. Click any wallet to view the trader's full Polymarket history and PnL.
- 0x5bff...ffbe — SELL NO $5,779 4d ago
- 0xb6c8...b9e6 — SELL NO $4,925 5d ago
- 0x94bd...6184 — SELL NO $2,949 21h ago
- 0xea96...2fb8 — BUY NO $1,462 2d ago
- 0xb6c8...b9e6 — SELL NO $1,181 5d ago
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- US government shutdown Saturday? — Yes 99.9%
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? — Yes 99.7%
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? — Yes 0.1%
- Xi Jinping out in 2025? — Yes 0.2%
Frequently asked questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026"?
The current Polymarket odds are Yes 4.1% and No 95.9%. A Yes price of 4.1% means the market estimates a 4.1% probability that the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares on Polymarket.
How much trading volume does this Polymarket market have?
This market has $751,950 in lifetime trading volume and $73,485 in current liquidity. Volume measures the total USD traded on this market since it opened. Higher volume typically means tighter spreads and more reliable price signal.
When does this Polymarket market resolve?
This market resolves on June 30, 2026. Resolution means the underlying question has been answered — Yes shares pay $1 each and No shares pay $0, or vice versa depending on the outcome. Polymarket determines resolution using the rules specified when the market was created.
What category is this Polymarket market in?
This is a Polymarket Other market in the Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? event. Other markets on Polymarket include a wide range of predictions — browse more Other markets on PolymarketScan to see related active predictions.
How do I trade this Polymarket market?
Trading happens on Polymarket.com, a decentralized prediction market on the Polygon blockchain. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 each at resolution if the outcome matches. PolymarketScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity for this market but does not facilitate trading directly.
What is PolymarketScan?
PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform for Polymarket. Every Polymarket market has a tracking page with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. No signup required.
About Polymarket and PolymarketScan
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market running on the Polygon blockchain. Users buy and sell shares in the Yes or No outcome of real-world events; prices reflect the market's probability estimate and winning shares pay out $1 each at resolution. PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform that tracks every Polymarket market with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. Browse all Polymarket markets, view recent whale trades, or search Polymarket traders.