Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025? is a Polymarket prediction market in the Weather category within the November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) event. Current Polymarket odds are Yes 0.2% and No 99.8%, implying a 0.2% market probability that the outcome resolves Yes. Lifetime trading volume is $95,426, with $5,560 in current liquidity. The market resolves on December 11, 2025. Track live odds, whale trade activity, and trader positioning for "Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025" on PolymarketScan.
Live market data
- Yes price
- 0.2%
- No price
- 99.8%
- Trading volume
- $95,426
- Liquidity
- $5,560
- Resolution date
- December 11, 2025
- Category
- Weather
- Parent event
- November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
- Status
- Active
- Data source
- Polymarket on Polygon blockchain
Related markets in November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Other Polymarket markets in the same event, ranked by trading volume. Markets within the same event typically share a resolution source and settle based on the same underlying outcome.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025? — Yes 0.1%, No 99.9%, Volume $295,523
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025? — Yes 0.1%, No 99.9%, Volume $293,197
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025? — Yes 4.5%, No 95.5%, Volume $86,855
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025? — Yes 1.6%, No 98.4%, Volume $83,307
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025? — Yes 94.0%, No 6.0%, Volume $75,508
More Weather markets on Polymarket
Other active Polymarket Weather markets, ranked by trading volume:
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5 — Yes 99.9%
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5) — Yes 99.9%
- Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? — Yes 99.9%
- Named storm forms before hurricane season? — Yes 10.0%
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025? — Yes 0.1%
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025? — Yes 0.1%
Frequently asked questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for "Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025"?
The current Polymarket odds are Yes 0.2% and No 99.8%. A Yes price of 0.2% means the market estimates a 0.2% probability that the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares on Polymarket.
How much trading volume does this Polymarket market have?
This market has $95,426 in lifetime trading volume and $5,560 in current liquidity. Volume measures the total USD traded on this market since it opened. Higher volume typically means tighter spreads and more reliable price signal.
When does this Polymarket market resolve?
This market resolves on December 11, 2025. Resolution means the underlying question has been answered — Yes shares pay $1 each and No shares pay $0, or vice versa depending on the outcome. Polymarket determines resolution using the rules specified when the market was created.
What category is this Polymarket market in?
This is a Polymarket Weather market in the November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) event. Weather markets on Polymarket include a wide range of predictions — browse more Weather markets on PolymarketScan to see related active predictions.
How do I trade this Polymarket market?
Trading happens on Polymarket.com, a decentralized prediction market on the Polygon blockchain. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 each at resolution if the outcome matches. PolymarketScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity for this market but does not facilitate trading directly.
What is PolymarketScan?
PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform for Polymarket. Every Polymarket market has a tracking page with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. No signup required.
About Polymarket and PolymarketScan
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market running on the Polygon blockchain. Users buy and sell shares in the Yes or No outcome of real-world events; prices reflect the market's probability estimate and winning shares pay out $1 each at resolution. PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform that tracks every Polymarket market with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. Browse all Polymarket markets, view recent whale trades, or search Polymarket traders.