Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? is a Polymarket prediction market in the Finance category within the OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap event. Current Polymarket odds are Yes 7.9% and No 92.1%, implying a 7.9% market probability that the outcome resolves Yes. Lifetime trading volume is $70,617, with $20,394 in current liquidity. The market resolves on June 30, 2026. Track live odds, whale trade activity, and trader positioning for "Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day" on PolymarketScan.
Live market data
- Yes price
- 7.9%
- No price
- 92.1%
- Trading volume
- $70,617
- Liquidity
- $20,394
- Resolution date
- June 30, 2026
- Category
- Finance
- Subcategory
- Stocks
- Parent event
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Status
- Active
- Data source
- Polymarket on Polygon blockchain
Related markets in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Other Polymarket markets in the same event, ranked by trading volume. Markets within the same event typically share a resolution source and settle based on the same underlying outcome.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? — Yes 4.5%, No 95.5%, Volume $480,068
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? — Yes 61.0%, No 39.0%, Volume $270,449
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? — Yes 8.7%, No 91.3%, Volume $260,233
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? — Yes 8.6%, No 91.4%, Volume $147,127
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? — Yes 4.1%, No 95.9%, Volume $122,977
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? — Yes 17.8%, No 82.2%, Volume $105,530
More Finance markets on Polymarket
Other active Polymarket Finance markets, ranked by trading volume:
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? — Yes 99.9%
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Yes 0.1%
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? — Yes 99.9%
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Yes 0.1%
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? — Yes 0.1%
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — Yes 99.9%
Frequently asked questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day"?
The current Polymarket odds are Yes 7.9% and No 92.1%. A Yes price of 7.9% means the market estimates a 7.9% probability that the outcome occurs. Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell shares on Polymarket.
How much trading volume does this Polymarket market have?
This market has $70,617 in lifetime trading volume and $20,394 in current liquidity. Volume measures the total USD traded on this market since it opened. Higher volume typically means tighter spreads and more reliable price signal.
When does this Polymarket market resolve?
This market resolves on June 30, 2026. Resolution means the underlying question has been answered — Yes shares pay $1 each and No shares pay $0, or vice versa depending on the outcome. Polymarket determines resolution using the rules specified when the market was created.
What category is this Polymarket market in?
This is a Polymarket Finance market in the OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap event. Finance markets on Polymarket include a wide range of predictions — browse more Finance markets on PolymarketScan to see related active predictions.
How do I trade this Polymarket market?
Trading happens on Polymarket.com, a decentralized prediction market on the Polygon blockchain. You buy Yes or No shares at current prices; shares pay $1 each at resolution if the outcome matches. PolymarketScan tracks live odds, volume, and trader activity for this market but does not facilitate trading directly.
What is PolymarketScan?
PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform for Polymarket. Every Polymarket market has a tracking page with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. No signup required.
About Polymarket and PolymarketScan
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market running on the Polygon blockchain. Users buy and sell shares in the Yes or No outcome of real-world events; prices reflect the market's probability estimate and winning shares pay out $1 each at resolution. PolymarketScan is a free analytics platform that tracks every Polymarket market with real-time odds, trading volume, whale trade activity, and trader leaderboards. Browse all Polymarket markets, view recent whale trades, or search Polymarket traders.