Who will win the 2028 presidential election? — Live Polymarket Odds

Who will win the 2028 presidential election? — Live Polymarket Odds

Live Polymarket odds for the 2028 US Presidential Election: 15 active markets, 668M shares combined volume, updated 2026-10-23 22:16 UTC. Top market: "Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" at 0.7% Yes. Real-money prediction-market probabilities, refreshed continuously.

Active 2028 US Presidential Election markets on Polymarket

  1. 1. Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 53.4M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  2. 2. Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yes 0.6% · 52.6M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  3. 3. Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 50.3M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  4. 4. Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 1.0% · 49.3M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  5. 5. Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.6% · 46.8M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  6. 6. Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 43.9M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  7. 7. Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 42.6M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  8. 8. Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yes 0.7% · 42.3M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  9. 9. Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 42.2M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  10. 10. Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 41.2M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  11. 11. Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Yes 0.6% · 41.2M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  12. 12. Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 41.1M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  13. 13. Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 40.6M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  14. 14. Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.7% · 40.4M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028
  15. 15. Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Yes 0.6% · 40.2M shares traded — closes Nov 7, 2028

Frequently asked questions

What are the Polymarket odds for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

As of 2026-10-23 22:16 UTC, the highest-volume Polymarket market on the 2028 US Presidential Election is "Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" at 0.7% Yes. 15 related markets are trading with 668M shares combined volume; every price is a real-money probability estimate that updates continuously.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Polymarket prices are real-money probability estimates: a Yes price of 30¢ means traders collectively price a ~30% chance. Prediction markets have historically been competitive with polls and expert forecasts because participants stake money on being right.

How do Polymarket odds on the 2028 US Presidential Election compare to Kalshi?

Polymarket and Kalshi both run real-money prediction markets and their prices usually track closely; gaps appear around liquidity and fee differences. PolymarketScan's cross-venue monitor tracks divergences live.

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