What price will Bitcoin hit? — Live Polymarket Odds

What price will Bitcoin hit? — Live Polymarket Odds

Live Polymarket odds for the Bitcoin Price Targets: 15 active markets, $48,376,793 combined volume, updated 2026-10-11 09:17 UTC. Top market: "Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?" at 5.1% Yes. Real-money prediction-market probabilities, refreshed continuously.

Active Bitcoin Price Targets markets on Polymarket

  1. 1. Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? — Yes 0.1% · $8,804,124 volume
  2. 2. Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? — Yes 0.1% · $7,721,957 volume
  3. 3. Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 2.1% · $5,123,889 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  4. 4. Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 5.1% · $4,780,724 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  5. 5. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 68.0% · $3,811,627 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  6. 6. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? — Yes 7.0% · $3,624,034 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  7. 7. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? — Yes 0.1% · $2,710,380 volume
  8. 8. Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 27.0% · $2,368,210 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  9. 9. Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 14.0% · $2,051,698 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  10. 10. Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 4.3% · $1,603,027 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  11. 11. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 44.0% · $1,577,048 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  12. 12. Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 38.0% · $1,077,925 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  13. 13. Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 2.1% · $1,067,876 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  14. 14. Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 1.5% · $1,054,317 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027
  15. 15. Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? — Yes 8.0% · $999,959 volume — closes Jan 1, 2027

Frequently asked questions

What are the Polymarket odds for the Bitcoin Price Targets?

As of 2026-10-11 09:17 UTC, the highest-volume Polymarket market on the Bitcoin Price Targets is "Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?" at 5.1% Yes. 15 related markets are trading with $48,376,793 combined volume; every price is a real-money probability estimate that updates continuously.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Polymarket prices are real-money probability estimates: a Yes price of 30¢ means traders collectively price a ~30% chance. Prediction markets have historically been competitive with polls and expert forecasts because participants stake money on being right.

How do Polymarket odds on the Bitcoin Price Targets compare to Kalshi?

Polymarket and Kalshi both run real-money prediction markets and their prices usually track closely; gaps appear around liquidity and fee differences. PolymarketScan's cross-venue monitor tracks divergences live.

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