Who will win the 2026 World Cup? — Live Polymarket Odds
Live Polymarket odds for the 2026 FIFA World Cup: 15 active markets, 7.36M shares combined volume, updated 2026-10-23 04:03 UTC. Top market: "Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 3.4% Yes. Real-money prediction-market probabilities, refreshed continuously.
Active 2026 FIFA World Cup markets on Polymarket
- 1. Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 3.4% · 999K shares traded
- 2. Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 20.0% · 999K shares traded
- 3. Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 1.4% · 995K shares traded
- 4. Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 67.0% · 993K shares traded
- 5. Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 0.3% · 985K shares traded
- 6. Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 4.4% · 804K shares traded
- 7. Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? — Yes 66.0% · 791K shares traded
- 8. Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 62.0% · 100K shares traded
- 9. Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 51.0% · 100K shares traded
- 10. Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 64.0% · 99.9K shares traded
- 11. Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 53.0% · 99.8K shares traded
- 12. Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 73.0% · 99.7K shares traded
- 13. Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 39.0% · 99.6K shares traded
- 14. Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 60.0% · 99.4K shares traded
- 15. Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes 62.0% · 99.1K shares traded
Frequently asked questions
What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
As of 2026-10-23 04:03 UTC, the highest-volume Polymarket market on the 2026 FIFA World Cup is "Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 3.4% Yes. 15 related markets are trading with 7.36M shares combined volume; every price is a real-money probability estimate that updates continuously.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Polymarket prices are real-money probability estimates: a Yes price of 30¢ means traders collectively price a ~30% chance. Prediction markets have historically been competitive with polls and expert forecasts because participants stake money on being right.
How do Polymarket odds on the 2026 FIFA World Cup compare to Kalshi?
Polymarket and Kalshi both run real-money prediction markets and their prices usually track closely; gaps appear around liquidity and fee differences. PolymarketScan's cross-venue monitor tracks divergences live.
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